NFLX: What the data is saying
A verified, data-driven analysis will be generated here from price action, technical indicators, fundamentals, earnings and market context.
Daily closing price · 250 sessions
Quantitative price outlook based on available market signals. Not financial advice.
Indicators calculated from the stored daily price history.
A verified, data-driven analysis will be generated here from price action, technical indicators, fundamentals, earnings and market context.
Dedicated research sections for 2026, 2030, 2035, 2040 and 2050. Numerical targets will appear only after the long-horizon model is validated.
Research inputs: earnings, revenue growth, valuation, technical regime, volatility, sector context and market conditions.
Read 2026 research →Research inputs: earnings, revenue growth, valuation, technical regime, volatility, sector context and market conditions.
Read 2030 research →Research inputs: earnings, revenue growth, valuation, technical regime, volatility, sector context and market conditions.
Read 2035 research →Research inputs: earnings, revenue growth, valuation, technical regime, volatility, sector context and market conditions.
Read 2040 research →Research inputs: earnings, revenue growth, valuation, technical regime, volatility, sector context and market conditions.
Read 2050 research →Historical outcomes are shown only after a prediction has matured and been evaluated.
Absolute percentage error: 9.63%
Absolute percentage error: 2.71%
Only stories explicitly associated with this stock are shown.
Bill Ackman's Pershing Square bought a new $1 billion stake in Netflix in 2026, years after exiting a $1.25 billion position in early 2022 at a loss. Ackman initially sold due to Netflix's introduction of an ad-supported tier, which reduced his confidence in predicting the company's future. He has since regained confidence as Netflix dominated the streaming wars, expanded into advertising and live programming, and demonstrated strong free cash flow growth and share buybacks. Ackman now expects Netflix to achieve approximately 20% annualized EPS growth.
Netflix and On Holding are identified as two stocks with potential to double in five years. Netflix trades at reasonable valuations with only 7% penetration of a $670 billion addressable market and expects 13-14% revenue growth in 2026. On Holding, a footwear brand gaining share against Nike, maintains strong profitability with 65% gross margins and expects low-20% sales growth, trading at 16x forward earnings with 24% expected earnings growth.
Netflix stock declined 3% on September 15, 2026, underperforming the broader market. Despite a 5.66% monthly gain, the company faces upcoming earnings on October 20 with analyst expectations of $0.82 EPS (39% YoY growth) and $12.88B revenue (11.9% YoY growth). Netflix holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) with a Forward P/E of 22.35, trading at a premium to its industry average.
Netflix stock rose 4% on Monday as AI-related stocks sold off following calls from Anthropic and OpenAI leaders to slow AI development. Unlike major AI infrastructure spenders like Alphabet, Netflix invests primarily in content ($9.9B in H1 2026) rather than capital equipment ($415M), generating strong free cash flow of $12.5B expected for 2026. However, the stock remains down 36% from its 52-week high due to slowing revenue growth.
Gray Media (GTN) and Netflix (NFLX) are compared as potential value stock investments in the Broadcast Radio and Television sector. Gray Media emerges as the superior value option with a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) rating, forward P/E of 2.08, and Value grade of A, compared to Netflix's Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), forward P/E of 21.54, and Value grade of D. GTN's improving earnings outlook and significantly lower valuation metrics make it the more attractive choice for value investors.
Common questions about price, predictions, long-term forecasts, technicals and research methodology.
NFLX is currently shown at $76.41 in the latest stored market quote. The page is refreshed from the connected market-data pipeline.
US Market AI currently shows quantitative forecasts for 24H, 7D, 30D and 90D using the stored market signals. The forecasts are estimates and not guarantees.
The 2026 long-term forecast section is included as a research framework. A numerical 2026 target is shown only after a dedicated long-horizon model has produced and validated it; the current 24H–90D model is not presented as a 2026 target.
The 2030 section tracks the inputs that a validated long-horizon model should use, including company growth, valuation, earnings, market regime and sector conditions. No unsupported price target is displayed.
The 2035, 2040 and 2050 sections are reserved for long-term model outputs. US Market AI does not invent numerical targets when validated long-horizon data is unavailable.
The page can display RSI, MACD, SMA 50, SMA 200, EMA 20, ATR, ADX, volatility, Bollinger levels, stochastic, support and resistance from stored daily price history.
Fundamental data is not currently populated for this stock, so the page does not estimate or fabricate missing values.
The latest ticker-linked news appears in the Market News section of this page. Stories are shown with source, publication date and sentiment when available.
Only predictions that have matured are evaluated. Recent evaluated outcomes are shown in the model-validation section; accuracy should be interpreted using the full mature sample rather than a single result.
No. US Market AI provides research and model estimates for informational purposes. Forecasts can be wrong and should not be treated as personalized financial advice.
Explore other active stocks in the same sector.
US Market AI combines quantitative signals and verified market data to support research. Forecasts are estimates, can be wrong, and are not financial advice.